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We decided that it was so important to be in it for the long game… people saw that we weren’t going to give up, no matter what.”
The story does not end here for Dallas ISD. They understand that they have a long road ahead of them if they are to achieve the goal of 60% of third graders reading on grade level by 2025. This would more than double third grade reading results over ten years and close the gap between Dallas ISD’s performance and that of more affluent districts in Texas, though still leaving continued room for improvement. The goal is ambitious relative to the performance of other large urban school districts across the country, and reaching it will require even more rapid growth. “Even though Dallas ISD has strong results to show from the past four years, I would still say we’re at the beginning of our journey,” noted Little. “We spent the past four years making a really big impact in our classrooms and in our students’ lives. But we also spent the past four years really figuring out how to go about the work. We can approach the next four to five years with much more sophistication and much more certainty around what we know is going to make the biggest difference.”
Even though Dallas ISD has strong results to show from the past four years, I would still say we’re at the beginning of our journey.”
Despite persistent challenges, the district is hopeful that it can continue to push back against the literacy crisis and improve outcomes for students and the community. This hope is made possible by aspects of the conditions for early learning success – foundational support from policy, using rigorous data to make strategic decisions, and supporting children beyond the classroom.
Texas’ House Bill 3 is pushing the district to ensure teachers are trained in the science of teaching reading, and provides additional support to help close achievement gaps. The Board of Trustees continues to provide policy support, recently approving a scholarship to expand Pre-K access even beyond what is now funded by the state through HB3. And while early literacy is still a focus, it’s not just about reading anymore. The district is also setting its sights on long-term growth in third grade math results, motivated in part by new HB3 requirements.
Another reason for hope is the use of a predictive data model to aid in their efforts. The district is currently using this model to understand the most significant predictors of student performance, exploring topics like chronic absenteeism, teacher mobility, school climate, and more.
Dallas ISD Early Learning and BCG have partnered to identify the drivers of third grade reading performance and better understand the district’s future trajectory by building a predictive statistical model. This model, a multivariate regression, uses past student, teacher, and campus data to illuminate which variables have meaningfully impacted third grade reading results in prior years, and how these variables impact each other across the student journey. The model then projects these variables into the future, taking into account their interaction with each other and effect on student outcomes to predict future third grade reading performance. This is helpful to give Dallas ISD a sense of how their early literacy effort is likely to perform relative to long-term goals. But the most exciting application lies in helping the district know where to focus their efforts next in order to continue improving third grade reading results. By examining the impact individual variables have on third grade reading performance, Dallas ISD Early Learning can prioritize which issues to tackle and accurately assess how improvement in one area is likely to impact overall results. For example, the district has used the predictive model to identify the role chronic student absenteeism plays in hindering student success and can project what impact a ten percent reduction in chronic absenteeism would have on third grade reading performance. This model and the data it produces will play a key role in the next phase of Dallas ISD Early Learning’s work.
Finally, the district is encouraged by the potential of working closely with community partners across the city to support students outside of the classroom, including before they reach school age. Early Learning Department leaders are hopeful that these collaborative efforts to partner with families, which have ramped up in recent years, can help close achievement gaps.
Despite the challenges faced and work still to be done, all involved in Dallas ISD’s push to rewrite their early literacy story echo the sentiment that improving third grade reading results across a community is possible, necessary for students, and incredibly rewarding.
We know this work isn’t easy, but we also know that the impact that we’re making on children, particularly in this early learning timeframe, is fundamentally going to change the possibilities for their life. It will open opportunities that they never would have had available had we not stayed focused on giving them the best opportunities, the best instruction, and the best support.”